Real Madrid Seeking to Maintain 100% Champions League Record at Expense of RB Leipzig

    RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid - 13/02/2024

    Real Madrid Seeking to Maintain 100% Champions League Record at Expense of RB Leipzig
    Marta Fernandez Jimenez / Shutterstock.com
    12/02/24 6569

    The UEFA Champions League knockout phase gets underway this week, with the 14-time winners travelling to the Red Bull Arena on Tuesday.

    Having won all six of their group games, Real Madrid head into the last 16 as clear favourites to advance at the expense of RB Leipzig.

    Forebet has collected all the key stats and trends ahead of Tuesday’s first leg. Without further ado, let’s dive into this preview and find out what our algorithm predicts.

    RB Leipzig head into the first leg on the back of a 2-2 draw with Augsburg, meaning they have managed to win just one of their last six matches across all competitions.

    To make matters worse for the Red Bulls, they have allowed 12 goals in their previous six outings, conceding at a rate of two goals per game.

    In the Champions League, however, Leipzig enjoyed an impressive group-stage campaign, winning four of their six matches to finish eight points inside the top two in Group G.

    Although the Red Bulls scored 13 goals during the group stage (2.2 goals per game), they also conceded 10 goals (1.7 goals per game), highlighting their defensive struggles.

    Meanwhile, Real Madrid set down a marker with a dominant 4-0 victory over La Liga title rivals Girona on Saturday, with Jude Bellingham bagging a brace.

    As a result, Los Blancos now sit five points clear of second-placed Girona in the table, having lost just one of their 24 La Liga matches this season.

    Thanks to a run of six straight victories in the Champions League, Carlo Ancelotti’s men have won 28 of their 34 clashes across all competitions this term, suffering only two defeats.

    It is also worth noting that Real Madrid netted 16 goals in six group games (2.7 goals per game), with only Manchester City and Atletico Madrid scoring more.

    Head-to-head: Funnily enough, RB Leipzig and Real Madrid met during the group stage of last season’s Champions League, with both sides winning at home.

    Following a 2-0 victory for Los Blancos in Spain, the Red Bulls gained their revenge with a 3-2 triumph in Germany a month later.

    Team news: RB Leipzig look set to be without Amadou Haidara for the first leg, as the Malian midfielder remains sidelined due to a knee injury.

    Unfortunately for Real Madrid, they will be without injured talisman Bellingham for the foreseeable future, as well as David Alaba, Thibaut Courtois, Eder Militao and Antonio Rudiger.

    Given that Los Blancos have won 82% of their games this season, the Red Bulls will find it difficult to stop their visitors.

    Forebet’s predictive analytics model expects Real Madrid to score over 1.5 goals on their way to victory in Leipzig, although the hosts will likely find the back of the net.

    Home team
    Away team
    Probability %
    1X2
    Pred
    Correct score
    Avg. goals
    Weather conditions
    Coef.
    Score
    Live
    coef.
    UCL
    312841
    21-2
    1 - 2
    2.95
    2.20
    3.10 3.60 2.20 no no no
    FT
    0 - 1(0 - 0)
    -
    - - -

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