Nothing to Separate Defending UCL Champions and Record Winners Ahead of Second-Leg Showdown

    Manchester City vs Real Madrid - 17/04/2024

    Nothing to Separate Defending UCL Champions and Record Winners Ahead of Second-Leg Showdown
    15/04/24 7539

    Manchester City and Real Madrid’s Champions League quarter-final tie is finely poised after the two sides produced a thrilling 3-3 draw at the Bernabeu last week.

    On Wednesday, the reigning champions welcome the record winners to the Etihad Stadium, with both sides bidding to reach the last four of the competition.

    If you’re looking for stats, trends and analysis, you’ve certainly come to the right place. Read on to find out what Forebet’s predictive analytics model forecasts for the second leg.

    Man City went ahead inside two minutes of the first leg, but two quick-fire goals from Real Madrid saw the hosts gain a 2-1 lead after 14 minutes.

    Long-range strikes from Phil Foden and Josko Gvardiol made it 3-2 to the visitors midway through the second half, before Federico Valverde equalised for Los Blancos.

    Pep Guardiola’s side followed that draw with a 5-1 thrashing of Luton Town on Saturday, extending their unbeaten streak to 27 matches across all competitions.

    Having won eight and drawn one of their nine Champions League games this season – scoring exactly three goals in all nine outings – City will be confident of defending their crown.

    As for Real Madrid, they followed the first-leg draw with a 1-0 victory over Mallorca on Saturday, racking up 57% possession and 16 shots against the Pirates.

    Carlo Ancelotti’s men have avoided defeat in each of their last 15 games across all competitions, with a solitary defeat coming in their previous 37 outings.

    In the Champions League, Los Blancos have registered seven wins and two draws this season, scoring 21 goals in the process (2.3 goals per game).

    It is also worth noting that Real Madrid have won each of their four UCL away games this term, netting nine goals on their travels (2.3 goals per game).

    Head-to-head: Manchester City have enjoyed plenty of success against Real Madrid in recent times, losing just one of their last seven Champions League meetings.

    Those seven clashes produced a total of 28 goals (4 goals per game), meaning Wednesday’s showdown will likely be a high-scoring encounter.

    Team news: John Stones is the only injury doubt for Manchester City, with recent absentees such as Ederson and Kyle Walker back in action.

    On the other hand, Real Madrid’s Thibaut Courtois and David Alaba remain sidelined due to injury, while Aurelien Tchouameni will miss the second leg through suspension.

    If the first leg is anything to go by, Wednesday’s decider will be another close-fought battle between two of Europe’s elite teams.

    Forebet predicts that Manchester City and Real Madrid will play out another high-scoring draw, meaning extra time and/or penalties will be required to decide who advances.

    Home team
    Away team
    Probability %
    1X2
    Pred
    Correct score
    Avg. goals
    Weather conditions
    Coef.
    Score
    Live
    coef.
    UCL
    324127
    X2-2
    2 - 2
    3.19
    4.20
    1.65 4.20 4.75 no no no
    Pen.
    FT
    3 - 4
    1 - 1(0 - 1)
    -
    - - -

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    {"3":"March 2024","4":"April 2024","5":"May 2024"}
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