Can PSG Turn Things Around Against Borussia Dortmund?

    PSG vs Borussia Dortmund - 07/05/2024

    Can PSG Turn Things Around Against Borussia Dortmund?
    Marta Fernandez Jimenez / Shutterstock.com
    08/05/24 8140

    The first 2023-24 Champions League finalist will be determined on Tuesday, as Kylian Mbappe and co. bid to overturn a one-goal deficit on home soil.

    Last Wednesday, Paris Saint-Germain suffered a 1-0 defeat at Borussia Dortmund in the first leg of their semi-final showdown, with Niclas Fullkrug scoring for the hosts.

    In this preview, we cover all the key stats, trends and analysis ahead of the second leg. Keep reading to discover what Forebet’s AI algorithm predicts.

    PSG racked up 58% possession and 14 shots in the first leg, but the visitors failed to make the most of their dominance.

    As a result, the French champions head into the second leg on a two-game winless run, having drawn 3-3 with Le Havre in their previous Ligue 1 match.

    It would not be unfair to say that PSG have experienced an inconsistent Champions League campaign, as they have recorded five wins, two draws and four losses this season.

    That said, Luis Enrique’s side have only lost one of their five UCL home games this term, picking up three wins while scoring 10 goals.

    Borussia Dortmund followed up the first-leg triumph with a 5-1 thrashing of Augsburg on Saturday, registering 61% possession and 21 shots in the rout.

    BVB have now won four of their last six matches across all competitions, with nine victories coming in their previous 13 encounters.

    It is also worth noting that Dortmund have won six of their last nine Champions League games, suffering a solitary defeat in the process.

    However, BVB have managed to win just two of their five away outings in the UCL this season, keeping a single clean sheet on their European travels.

    Head-to-head: PSG and Borussia Dortmund have faced each other seven times since 2010, with both sides recording two wins and three draws.

    In terms of the scoring statistics, only one of their seven previous meetings has produced over 2.5 goals, with four meetings serving up exactly two goals.

    Team news: The hosts will be without injured trio Lucas Hernandez, Presnel Kimpembe and Sergio Rico for the second leg.

    As for the visitors, Ramy Bensebaini and Julien Duranville are sidelined through injury. There are also question marks over Karim Adeyemi and Sebastien Haller.

    If the previous meetings between PSG and Borussia Dortmund are anything to go by, Tuesday’s clash will be a close-fought battle.

    Forebet predicts that Dortmund will hold the hosts to a draw in Paris, meaning the German outfit will book their place in the final.

    Home team
    Away team
    Probability %
    1X2
    Pred
    Correct score
    Avg. goals
    Weather conditions
    Coef.
    Score
    Live
    coef.
    UCL
    373924
    X1-1
    1 - 1
    2.49
    17°
    4.50
    1.45 4.50 7.00 no no no
    FT
    0 - 1(0 - 0)
    -
    - - -

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