Group D of the 2024 European Championship is not going to be easy and with France and Austria the other two teams in this section, the results of the opening games could prove vital.
The match between Poland and Netherlands will be played on the 16th of June at Volksparkstadion. Netherlands are considered one of the dark horses for the tournament whereas Poland are one of the outsiders.
Poland come into the game on the back of a 2-1 friendly win at home over Türkiye. Poland opened the scoring in the 12th minute and led 1-0 at halftime. Into the second half and Türkiye equalised in the 77th minute but Poland were not done and scored the winner in the 90th minute.
With its full complement of tools, Forebet has made a prediction for the Euro 2024 outcome, which you can check in the video below.
The victory over Türkiye means Poland are undefeated in their 8 most recent fixtures in all competitions. There were wins over Faroe Islands away and Estonia at home in European Championship qualifying plus a friendly victory over Ukraine.
Poland also beat Wales in a penalty shootout to qualify for Euro 2024 despite failing to have a shot on target in 120 minutes.
The stats show Poland have seen over 2.5 goals and both teams score in 3 of their last 4 matches. Poland have a poor recent record at the European Championship and they have recorded only 2 wins from their 14 most recent games in the competition.
Both teams have scored in each of Poland’s last 5 European Championship matches.
Netherlands arrive at the Volksparkstadion having beat Iceland 4-0 at home in a friendly. They took the lead in the 23rd minute and scored a second goal early in the second half and eased away from Iceland with further goals in the 79th and 93rd minutes.
The victory over Iceland means Netherlands have won 6 of their 7 most recent fixtures in all competitions.
There have been victories over Greece and Gibraltar away plus Republic of Ireland at home in European Championship qualifying. There were also home friendly wins against Scotland and Canada.
Trends show Netherlands have seen over 2.5 goals scored in each of their last 5 games in all competitions.
Netherlands have scored at least 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches at the European Championship and have won 3 of their last 4 games in the competition.
Team news and Poland have plenty of experience in their team with Wojciech Szczęsny, Robert Lewandowski, Piotr Zieliński, and Bartosz Bereszyński all at least 30 years of age. Oliwier Zych was forced to drop out of the squad due to injury.
Netherlands look strong at the back, with Virgil van Dijk, Nathan Aké, Matthijs de Ligt, and Micky van de Ven among the central defenders available. Marten de Roon, Frenkie de Jong, and Teun Koopmeiners miss out due to injury.
I will be interesting to see how Netherlands cope without some of their key midfielders.
Our algorithm suggests we should see goals in this game, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals in total. Netherlands have much the superior record at the European Championship and we predict the Dutch will win this match by a 1 goal margin.