The pressure has been on the USA as hosts of the 2024 Copa America and could it prove too much for them as we enter the final round of group C games.
The match between United States and Uruguay will be played on the 1st of July at the Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City.
USA are currently second in the group on 3 points but need a win to guarantee their place in the quarterfinals while Uruguay are top of the group on 6 points and know a point will be enough to progress.
Next stop: Arrowhead. pic.twitter.com/vdPw3mb4nH— U.S. Soccer Men's National Team (@USMNT) June 30, 2024
Next stop: Arrowhead. pic.twitter.com/vdPw3mb4nH
USA come into the game on the back of a hugely disappointing 2-1 loss against Panama in their second group match.
USA were reduced to ten men in the 18th minute as Timothy Weah was sent off but took the lead 4 minutes later. However, it did not take long for Panama to equalise and they scored the winning goal in the 83rd minute.
The defeat to Panama means USA have won 1 of their 4 most recent fixtures in all competitions. The victory came over Bolivia in their opening game of the 2024 Copa America and there was a 1-1 draw with Brazil in a friendly. USA lost 5-1 to Colombia, also in a pre-tournament friendly match.
The stats show USA have lost 3 of their last 4 games in the Copa America. They have won only 4 of their last 13 matches in the competition and have failed to score a goal in 2 of their last 4 Copa America fixtures.
Uruguay travel to the Arrowhead Stadium having recorded an excellent 5-0 win over Bolivia in their most recent Group C match. It took only 8 minutes for Uruguay to open the scoring and they led 2-0 at halftime. Into the second half and Uruguay scored 3 goals in the final 13 minutes of the game.
The win over Bolivia means Uruguay are undefeated in their last 4 fixtures in all competitions.
There have been additional victories over Panama in the 2024 Copa America plus Mexico in a friendly. Uruguay were also held to a draw in a friendly against Costa Rica.
Trends show Uruguay are undefeated in 5 of their last 6 matches at the Copa America. They have won 4 of their 5 most recent games in the competition and have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5 Copa America fixtures.
Team news and USA will be without suspended forward Timothy Weah. Matt Turner is a doubt in goal meaning Ethan Horvath could start between the sticks.
Uruguay still need a point to secure qualification and with no injury or suspension concerns, may start with the same XI from the previous match against Bolivia.
This is a tough ask for USA and our algorithm suggests they are going to find it difficult to score against Uruguay.
Our prediction is for this match to end in a 1-0 win for Uruguay, meaning USA will need a favour from Bolivia to progress.