Probability of an Upset as Bournemouth Host Leicester City in FA Cup

    Bournemouth vs Leicester City - 27/02/2024

    Probability of an Upset as Bournemouth Host Leicester City in FA Cup
    26/02/24 9145

    It always exciting to preview an FA Cup between Premier League and Championship clubs, as the potential of an upset is always on the cards.

    We have reached the fifth round of the FA Cup and on the 27th of February we have a meeting between Bournemouth and Leicester City.

    The match will be played at the Vitality Stadium and the hosts are currently 14th in the Premier League while the visitors are top of the Championship.

    Bournemouth come into the game having lost 1-0 at home to defending Premier League champions, Manchester City.

    The visitors scored in the 24th minute and despite some pressure from Bournemouth in the second half, they could not find the equaliser.

    The defeat to Manchester City means Bournemouth have failed to win any of their 5 most recent fixtures, all of which have been played in the Premier League.

    There have been draws at West Ham United and Newcastle United away plus Nottingham Forest at home. The Cherries also suffered a 3-1 defeat at Fulham.

    Teams form shows Bournemouth have won only 1 of their 4 most recent home games, with the victory coming over Swansea City of the Championship in the FA Cup.

    Trends show Bournemouth have won 2 of their last 4 FA Cup ties, with both wins coming this season.

    5 of Bournemouth’s last 6 FA Cup matches have seen over 2.5 goals scored and there have been over 2.5 goals in 9 of their 10 most recent FA Cup games on home soil.

    Leicester City travel to the Vitality Stadium on the back of a disappointing 3-1 defeat at Leeds United on the weekend.

    It was a big game at the top of the Championship and The Foxes took the lead in the 15th minute. Leicester City held on until the 80th minute when they conceded the equaliser.

    It worsened as Leeds United took the lead 3 minutes later and added a third goal in the 94th minute.

    The defeat at Leeds United means Leicester City have lost their 2 most recent fixtures.

    The additional defeat came against Middlesbrough at home in the Championship but they are the only 2 defeats in Leicester City’s 8 most recent games in all competitions.

    In terms of the FA Cup stats show Leicester City have won 4 of their last 5 matches in the competition. They have won each of their 3 most recent away FA Cup ties and have scored at least 1 goal in each of their last 10 FA Cup games on the road.

    Team news: Bournemouth are without Lloyd Kelly, James Hill, Max Aarons, Ryan Fredericks, and Tyler Adams due to injury. Philip Billing returns following suspension.

    Leicester City make the trip without injured midfielder Wilfred Ndidi. There are also doubts over the fitness of Jamie Vardy.

    This has the makings of being a difficult night for the hosts and Bournemouth could struggle. Leicester City are top of the Championship and will fancy their chances of causing an upset. Predictive Analysis suggests both teams to score and an away win.

    Home team
    Away team
    Probability %
    1X2
    Pred
    Correct score
    Avg. goals
    Weather conditions
    Coef.
    Score
    Live
    coef.
    FA
    293437
    21-2
    1 - 2
    2.90
    4.75
    1.73 3.75 4.75 no no no
    AET
    FT
    0 - 2
    0 - 1(0 - 0)
    -
    - - -

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