Forebet’s mathematics-based football predictions turn towards a crucial London derby in the Premier League on Thursday evening.
Inconsistent Chelsea entertain Champions League-chasing Tottenham Hotspur at Stamford Bridge, with the visitors aiming to close in on the top four.
With two games in hand, fifth-placed Tottenham sit seven points behind fourth-placed Aston Villa and 12 points clear of ninth-placed Chelsea.
Gallagher's equaliser from range. 🎯😮💨#CFC | #AvlChe pic.twitter.com/flzQSUaTT1— Chelsea FC (@ChelseaFC) April 28, 2024
Gallagher's equaliser from range. 🎯😮💨#CFC | #AvlChe pic.twitter.com/flzQSUaTT1
Last weekend, Chelsea came from 2-0 down to draw 2-2 with Aston Villa, racking up 72% possession and 21 shots while almost getting the better of Unai Emery’s side.
It is worth remembering, however, that Mauricio Pochettino’s men endured a 5-0 thrashing at the hands of Arsenal in their previous game, highlighting the gulf in quality.
That said, the Blues have enjoyed plenty of success at Stamford Bridge of late, winning seven of their last nine home league games while suffering a solitary defeat.
Having lost only one of their previous 10 Premier League encounters, Chelsea will be hopeful of frustrating their London rivals on Thursday.
As for Tottenham Hotspur, they suffered a 3-2 defeat in the North London Derby on Sunday, despite racking up 63% possession and 15 shots.
This means that Ange Postecoglou’s side head into Thursday’s clash on the back of successive defeats, having also recorded a 4-0 loss against Newcastle United.
Spurs have been wildly inconsistent in recent times, recording four wins, one draw and four defeats across their last nine Premier League outings.
It is also worth noting that Tottenham have managed to win just one of their previous seven away league games, recording three draws and three losses in that time.
Head-to-head: Chelsea won the reverse fixture 4-1 back in November, meaning they have won seven of their last 10 Premier League meetings with Spurs.
In terms of the broader H2H stats, Tottenham have only managed to win three of their previous 13 league matches against the Blues.
Team news: Chelsea’s injury list features Reece James, Wesley Fofana, Romeo Lavia, Enzo Fernandez, Christopher Nkunku, Malo Guston, Thiago Silva and Robert Sanchez.
On the flip side, Tottenham are currently without Destiny Udogie, Ryan Sessegnon, Manor Solomon, Timo Werner and Fraser Forster due to injury.
Given that 14 of their last 16 Premier League meetings have produced over 1.5 goals, Thursday’s showdown will likely be a high-scoring affair.
Forebet’s AI algorithm predicts that Chelsea and Tottenham will share over 3.5 goals at Stamford Bridge, with the hosts outscoring the visitors.