If you’re looking for mathematics-based football predictions and statistical analysis, you’ve certainly come to the right place.
On Friday, Genoa will aim to extend their unbeaten streak to five Serie A games when fellow risers Lazio visit the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris.
In this preview, we take an in-depth look at the form of both teams, highlighting key stats and trends. Continue reading to find out what Forebet’s AI algorithm predicts.
Let’s start with the hosts, Genoa, who played out a 1-1 draw with Fiorentina last time out, despite seeing 41% possession while conceding 20 shots.
Genoa have now drawn three of their previous four matches, remaining unbeaten during that period thanks to a 2-1 victory over Hellas Verona.
When you look at the bigger picture, Genoa have lost just three of their last 17 Serie A encounters, although they have kept only four clean sheets along the way.
It is also worth noting that Genoa have drawn five of their previous nine home league games, suggesting that Friday’s clash will be another close-fought battle.
As for Lazio, they thrashed bottom-of-the-table Salernitana 4-1 last time out, racking up 66% possession and 17 shots in the process.
The Eagles have now won three of their previous four Serie A clashes, defeating Frosinone and Juventus before seeing off Salernitana.
Lazio have enjoyed plenty of success on the road in recent times, winning five of their last eight away league outings while scoring over 1.5 goals in each of those victories.
That said, the Eagles have lost eight of their 16 away league games this season, so they will be hoping to maintain their recent form following a shaky start.
Head-to-head: Lazio have lost just one of their last seven Serie A meetings with Genoa, securing five victories in this fixture since 2019.
Given that both teams have scored in each of Lazio’s previous six away games against Genoa, we will likely see both sides find the back of the net on Friday.
Team news: Genoa are still without long-term absentee Alan Matturro following surgery, while Ruslan Malinovsky and Vitinha are sidelined through injury.
On the flip side, Lazio’s injury list features Ciro Immobile, Luca Pellegrini and Ivan Provedel, while Alessio Romagnoli and Mattia Zaccagni are doubts for Friday.
Although Genoa have impressed in recent months, Lazio should have enough quality to secure their fourth victory in five Serie A matches.
Forebet predicts that both teams will score at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. However, the visitors are expected to outscore the hosts.