Will Dortmund Secure Fourth Victory in Five Bundesliga Matches When Freiburg Visit?

    Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg - 09/02/2024

    Will Dortmund Secure Fourth Victory in Five Bundesliga Matches When Freiburg Visit?
    Vitalii Vitleo / Shutterstock.com
    08/02/24 3897

    Thanks to Forebet’s AI algorithm, our football predictions continue to highlight key stats and trends across a wide variety of leagues and competitions.

    On Friday, our predictive analytics model will turn its attention to the German Bundesliga, as Borussia Dortmund welcome SC Freiburg to Signal Iduna Park.

    Can the hosts extend their impressive unbeaten streak? Or will the visitors end a run of two straight defeats? Keep reading our mathematics-based preview to find out.

    Despite racking up 70% possession and 14 shots while preventing their hosts from registering a single attempt on target, Dortmund were held to a goalless draw by Heidenheim last time out.

    Still, BVB remain unbeaten in six Bundesliga matches, having picked up three wins and three draws since their last loss in the league.

    It is also worth noting that Dortmund have lost just two of their 10 home league games this season, securing six wins and two draws to take 20 points from a possible 30.

    Having lost only four of their previous 39 Bundesliga encounters, Edin Terzic’s men will be confident of picking up another positive result on home soil.

    Meanwhile, Freiburg suffered a 3-1 defeat to VfB Stuttgart last weekend, with midfielder Merlin Rohl seeing red after just 18 minutes.

    Freiburg have now lost each of their last two Bundesliga games, with four defeats coming in their previous seven outings across all competitions.

    To make matters worse for the visitors, they have struggled on the road in recent times, losing each of their last three away games while conceding eight goals.

    When you look at the bigger picture, Freiburg have lost five of their previous seven away games across all competitions, underlining their away-day woes.

    Head-to-head: Thanks to a 4-2 victory in the revers fixture back in September, Dortmund have won each of their last four meetings with Freiburg, scoring 17 goals in the process.

    It is also worth pointing out that BVB have avoided defeat in each of their previous 15 home matches against Freiburg, putting more pressure on the visitors.

    Team news: The hosts are currently without Sebastien Haller, who is representing Ivory Coast at the Africa Cup of Nations, while Jadon Sancho has a muscle injury.

    As for the visitors, Rohl is suspended following last weekend’s red card, while Daniel-Kofi Kyereh, Philipp Lienhart, Max Rosenfelder and Kenneth Schmidt are injured.

    When you couple Dortmund’s strong home form with Freiburg’s poor away form, all the signs point towards a victory for the hosts.

    Forebet predicts that Borussia Dortmund will score over 2.5 goals on their way to inflicting a fourth successive away defeat on SC Freiburg.

    Home team
    Away team
    Probability %
    1X2
    Pred
    Correct score
    Avg. goals
    Weather conditions
    Coef.
    Score
    Live
    coef.
    De1
    532917
    13-1
    3 - 1
    3.70
    12°
    1.53
    1.53 4.20 5.75 no no no
    FT
    3 - 0(2 - 0)
    -
    - - -

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