Can Real Mallorca win their first home match against Real Sociedad since 2012 in Copa del Rey semifinal first leg?

    Real Mallorca vs Real Sociedad - 06/02/2024

    Can Real Mallorca win their first home match against Real Sociedad since 2012 in Copa del Rey semifinal first leg?
    Cesar Ortiz Gonzalez / Shutterstock.com
    05/02/24 3028

    Real Mallorca have not won a match at home against Real Sociedad in more than a decade. Can the Islanders win the first leg of their Copa del Rey semifinal against Sociedad at the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix?

    On Tuesday night, Sociedad will head to the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix to face off with Mallorca in a crunch first-leg tie.

    Four teams remain in the Copa del Rey, with Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao on the other side of the bracket.

    Sociedad went unbeaten in their last nine games against Mallorca in all competitions. Tuesday’s cup tie will be their second meeting of the season.

    The previous match saw Real Sociedad win 1-0 against Mallorca in the league.

    Former Real Madrid player Takafusa Kubo scored the game’s only goal in the 64th minute. The game saw six yellow cards, as Sociedad kept 56% of the possession.

    Real Sociedad  reached the semifinals of the Copa del Rey thanks to a 2-1 win over Celta Vigo.

    They controlled the match, with Mikel Oyarzabel and Sheraldo Becker scoring on either side of halftime.

    Mallorca knocked out Girona to get to the final four. The Islanders dominated much of the match and led 3-0 after 35 minutes.

    Girona came back in the final 22 minutes, scoring twice, but Mallorca held on for the win.

    The Islanders are not in good form ahead of the Copa del Rey semifinal first leg. They lost their last two league matches.

    Mallorca’s round 23 loss in La Liga came against fellow Copa semifinalists Athletic Bilbao, 4-0.

    Mallorca have two of the highest goal scorers in the 2023-24 Copa del Rey. Abdon is top of the scoring stats chart with six goals. Teammate Cyle Larin has four goals.

    Real Sociedad drew nil-nil against Girona at the weekend. It was their second consecutive draw in La Liga. The Royal failed to score in their last two La Liga games.

    Oyarzabal has 12 goals in all competitions for Sociedad this season. He is the team’s only player in double-digit goal scoring stats.

    Kubo could be back for the first leg due to Japan being eliminated from the Asian Cup. However, Kieran Tierney and Alvaro Odriozola are both set to miss the match due to injury.

    Mallorca’s Pablo Maffeo is unlikely to play following a knee injury.

    Our algorithm predicts another win for Sociedad over Mallorca. However, this should be a low-scoring affair. Sociedad should pick up a 1-0 win in the first leg.

    Home team
    Away team
    Probability %
    1X2
    Pred
    Correct score
    Avg. goals
    Weather conditions
    Coef.
    Score
    Live
    coef.
    EsC
    283240
    20-1
    0 - 1
    2.09
    15°
    2.30
    3.60 2.90 2.30 no no no
    FT
    0 - 0(0 - 0)
    -
    - - -

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