Before the Round – Trends on Germany Bundesliga (04-05/11)

13.11.23 4160

The Bundesliga’s top five teams are separated by just five points ahead of round No. 10.

Bayer Leverkusen leads the way, but Bayern Munich, Stuttgart, Borussia Dortmund, and RB Leipzig all have a chance of winning the title. This could be the most exciting Bundesliga title race in years.

1. FC Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt

The last six matches between 1. FC Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt were all won by the home team. Indeed, the last four meetings between these clubs saw the home team win by a score of 2-0.

Eintracht Frankfurt are seventh in the league and unbeaten in three straight games. The Eagles drew 3-3 with Dortmund a week ago in a pulsating match. Frankfurt aren’t a high-scoring team this season, with just nine goals scored in their last six games.

Union Berlin are struggling thanks in part to their appearance in the Champions League this season. The Irons are 15th in the standings. They lost each of their last six games in the competition. Union’s usually strong defence has been anything but strong. They conceded 19 goals in nine games.

• There have been 11 staight losses in all competitions for Union Berlin.
• Eintracht Frankfurt are in an unfortunate period, having won just 3 of their last 20 away matches in all competitions.
• Union Berlin haven't lost in 17 of their last 20 home matches in Bundesliga.
• Eintracht Frankfurt are undefeated in 13 of their last 16 encounters with Union Berlin in all competitions.
• Prediction: Both Teams to Score

1. FSV Mainz 05 - RB Leipzig

Mainz went unbeaten in their last two matches versus RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga. Last season, the 05ers drew 1-1 at home before defeating Leipzig 3-0 away.

Mainz are not in good shape after nine matches. They have zero wins and just three points to their name. Only Darmstadt conceded more goals in the opening nine games. Mainz allowed 24 goals.

Leipzig are not the team Mainz want to play right now. Die Roten Bullen scored six goals a week ago in a 6-0 thrashing of Koln. Leipzig took 14 points from the last six games in the Bundesliga, scoring 15 goals and conceding just three.

• Mainz have recorded a poor run of 3 home losses by 2+ goals in Bundesliga.
• No defeats can be found in RB Leipzig's 8 most recent games in Bundesliga.
• Mainz's performance has been disappointing of late, as they have won just 3 of their 21 most recent all competitions clashes.
• In their 36 most recent matches of Bundesliga, RB Leipzig have been undefeated 30 times.
• Prediction: RB Leipzig

VfL Wolfsburg - SV Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen went unbeaten against Wolfsburg last season, picking up a 2-2 draw away and a 2-1 win at home. Wolfsburg are in poor form, having lost their last three Bundesliga matches.

Bremen are coming off a 2-0 win over Union Berlin at home. The victory ended a three-game Bundesliga losing streak. Bremen are not strong defensively, as they conceded 13 goals in the last six games.

Wolfsburg picked up just six points from the last six games in the league. Each of the Wolves' last three games, all losses, saw over 2.5 goals. Both teams scored in each of those three fixtures.

• VfL Wolfsburg's most recent record of 14 games in all competitions consists of no losses at half time.
• We have seen 8 consecutive away defeats in the most recent games in all competitions of Werder Bremen.
• VfL Wolfsburg have a good record of 10 undefeated games of their last 12 home encounters in all competitions.
• Werder Bremen are on a poor run of just 1 wins in 13 away matches (all competitions).
• Prediction: VfL Wolfsburg

1. FC Heidenheim - VfB Stuttgart

Heidenheim will face Stuttgart at home for the first time since 2019-20 in the 2. Bundesliga. Stuttgart’s strong start to the season took a hit a week ago at home to Hoffenheim. Can Stuttgart rebound from their second defeat of the campaign and stay in the title race?

Heidenheim lost their last three Bundesliga matches. They conceded at least 2.0 goals in each of those three fixtures. Heidenheim scored only 13 goals in their opening nine games.

In comparison, Stuttgart are a scoring machine. The Swabians bagged 27 goals in their opening nine matches. Each of Stuttgart’s last three games finished with over 2.5 goals.

• A run of 4 straight defeats makes the most recent matches in all competitions of Heidenheim.
• VfB Stuttgart have won by 2+ goals their last 3 away matches in Bundesliga.
• Heidenheim are undefeated in 17 of their last 20 home all competitions games.
• VfB Stuttgart haven't lost in 14 of their last 16 games in all competitions.
• Prediction: VfB Stuttgart