Chelsea With Slight Advantage Heading into Second Leg

    Chelsea vs Real Madrid Preview 05/05/2021

    05 May 2021 | Champions League | Preview
    Chelsea With Slight Advantage Heading into Second Leg
    Vitalii Vitleo /

    We have reached the second leg of the 2020/21 UEFA Champions League semi-final and on Wednesday the 5th of May we have a meeting between Chelsea and Real Madrid.

    The match will be played at Stamford Bridge and the tie is level at 1-1 following the first leg in Spain last week.

    Chelsea come into the game having recorded a comfortable 2-0 home win over Fulham in the Premier League on the weekend.

    That win puts them another step closer to finishing in the top four and qualifying for the Champions League again next season. That result means Chelsea are currently on a 5 match unbeaten run in all competitions, with wins in the FA Cup over Manchester City and West Ham United in the Premier League.

    However, they have failed to win their last two fixtures in the Champions League, having been held to a draw in the first leg of this tie plus tasted defeat against Porto in the second leg of the quarter-final.

    Chelsea do not have a great record when playing at home in the Champions League. They have picked up only two victories from their last 6 Champions League matches at Stamford Bridge, although the loss to Porto in the quarter-final this season was at a neutral venue.

    Chelsea have seen under 2.5 goals in their last 6 games in Champions League and we expect to see more of the same in this match.

    Real Madrid kept their hopes of winning the title in Spain alive this weekend as they defeated Osasuna 2-0 at home. Zinedine Zidane decided to make some changes to his team, especially in midfield but they still had enough to win the match and remain 2 points behind leaders Atletico Madrid.

    The victory on the weekend means Real Madrid extended their current unbeaten run to 19 games in all competitions. They are undefeated in each of their last 6 Champions League matches, including victories over Borussia Monchengladbach, Atalanta, and Liverpool.

    However, away form in the competition has not been great and Real Madrid have won only two of their last 6 on the road.

    Trends show in their 4 most recent away matches in Champions League, Real Madrid have seen under 2.5 goals scored. They have managed to keep three clean sheets in their last 4 away Champions League fixtures.

    Team news and Chelsea will be without injured central midfielder Mateo Kovacic but they are hopeful defender Antonio Rudiger will recover in time to play. They are the only two players who could be unavailable for Chelsea.

    Real Madrid rested Toni Kroos and Luka Modric on the weekend, so both will be fit and ready for this match. Lucas Vazquez and Dani Carvajal will miss out due to injury, while Ferland Mendy and Sergio Ramos are doubtful.

    This has the makings of being an extremely tight game. Chelsea know if they manage to keep a clean sheet they will progress to the final. Despite needing to score, Real Madrid are unlikely to come out all guns blazing and leave themselves open at the back.

    There is a strong possibility we will see under 2.5 goals scored and a 0-0 draw is not out of the question.

    Home team
    Away team
    Probability %
    Correct score
    Avg. goals
    Weather conditions
    0 - 0
    2.35 3.32 3.30 1 -1 -1
    2 - 0(1 - 0)
    - - -