Madrid Derby with Huge Title Implications

    Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid Preview 07/03/2021

    04 Mar 2021 | La Liga | Preview
    Madrid Derby with Huge Title Implications
    Vitalii Vitleo / Shutterstock

    There is no doubt the biggest game in the Spanish La Liga on the weekend takes place at the Estadio Wanda Metropolitano as Atletico Madrid meet Real Madrid.

    The hosts begin the weekend top of the table on 58 points while the visitors are in second place from 53 points, although Atletico Madrid have a game in hand.

    Atletico Madrid come into the match having defeated Villarreal 2-0 away from home last weekend. It was an important victory for the league leaders who had gone 3 games without a win in all competitions. Atletico Madrid were held to a 1-1 draw at Levante and were then defeated by the same opposition three days later at home, which was a hugely disappointing result.

    A defeat in the Champions League against Chelsea followed but although this was supposed to be a home fixture, it was played at the Venue Arena Naţională, in Bucharest.

    The 2-0 loss against Levante was the first defeat at home for Atletico Madrid in La Liga since the 1st of December 2019 when they lost against Barcelona. There were 22 unbeaten league matches at home for Atletico Madrid between those two defeats.

    Trends show there have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of the latest games in all competitions of Atletico Madrid. There has also been under 2.5 goals scored in 3 of their last 5 home La Liga matches.

    Real Madrid come into the game having been held to a 1-1 draw at home by Real Sociedad. Despite dropping points, it was a decent result in the end for Real Madrid as they were going to lose the match before scoring a last minute equaliser. That result means Real Madrid are undefeated in their last 6 games in all competitions.

    Real Madrid have lost only one of their last 15 La Liga fixtures and are undefeated in their 5 most recent La Liga games, winning 4. Away from home in the league, Real Madrid are undefeated in their last 8 matches and have won each of their last 3 on the road.

    There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Real Madrid's last 5 games in all competitions. They have found it difficult to defeat Atletico Madrid away from home and Real Madrid have won only 2 of their last 11 away encounters with their city rivals in all competitions.

    Team news and Atletico Madrid continue without the suspended Kieran Trippier. Central defender José Giménez is unlikely to return from injury in time to make the starting XI.

    Real Madrid are likely to be without the injured trio of Eden Hazard, Daniel Carvajal, and Éder Militão.

    A draw would probably be a decent result for Atletico Madrid and therefore we expect to see a typically solid display from the hosts.

    However, there is enough attacking talent in both teams to suggest we could see goals although a draw and under 2.5 goals seems the most likely outcome.

    Home team
    Away team
    Probability %
    Correct score
    Avg. goals
    Weather conditions
    1 - 1
    3.04 3.10 2.63 1 -1 -1
    1 - 1(1 - 0)
    - - -