Before the Round – Trends on Italy Serie A (02-03/12)

    Before the Round – Trends on Italy Serie A (02-03/12)
    01/12/23 2960

    Serie A is once again experiencing a title race, as three teams will start round No. 14 separated by just six points. Inter, Juventus, and AC Milan are all battling for top spot.

    Meanwhile, at the bottom of the table, Salernitana are trying to kickstart their campaign for survival.

    Lazio – Cagliari

    Lazio have struggled to build winning momentum all season long. On Saturday, the Biancocelesti will host Cagliari, as they seek to end a three-match winless streak. Lazio went unbeaten in their last six head-to-head games in all competitions versus the Islanders.

    Cagliari are also in poor form ahead of the fixture. They failed to win each of their last two matches in Serie A. The Islanders are only outside the bottom three thanks to goal difference.

    Lazio failed to win their last three games and limp into the match on Saturday at home. The good news for Maurizio Sarri is the team’s form at the Stadio Olimpico. Lazio went unbeaten in their last five home matches.

    • Lazio haven't lost in 8 of their last 9 home games in Serie A.
    • Cagliari Calcio are scoring an average of 0.67 goals in away Serie A games.
    • Lazio conceded an average of 0.67 goals in their home matches in Serie A.
    • Cagliari Calcio have won just 2 of their last 13 league games.
    • Prediction: Under 2.5 goals.


    AC Milan – Frosinone

    AC Milan went unbeaten in their last four head-to-head matches against Frosinone. The Rossoneri are coming off a 1-0 win over Fiorentina, which ended a dreadful four-game winless streak.

    However, Milan’s poor form reared its head once more in midweek, as Borussia Dortmund won 3-1 at the San Siro in Champions League play. Milan took 12 points from 18 points available at home. They’ve scored just eight home goals this term.

    Frosinone are fresh off a 2-1 home win over Genoa. It was a relegation six-pointer, and Frosinone now sit 10th in the division. The Lions took nine points from the last six games in Serie A.

    • AC Milan are undefeated in 18 of their last 21 home league games.
    • Frosinone have conceded 1+ goals in all of their last 10 Serie A games.
    • AC Milan are undefeated at HT in their last 15 home league games.
    • Frosinone are conceding an average of 1.83 goals in their away games (Serie A).
    • Prediction: AC Milan to win.

    Fiorentina – Salernitana

    Fiorentina just shaded the last six games against Salernitana, posting a record of 3W-1D-2L. Last season, La Viola took four points from six of Salernitana. Their match in Florence ended 2-1 to Fiorentina and the reverse fixture finished 3-3.

    Fiorentina’s recent form led to them sliding down the table after a strong start to the campaign. La Viola only took six points from the last 18 points on offer. Four of their last five Serie A games ended in defeat, including last week’s match versus AC Milan.

    Salernitana may be bottom of the table, but they went unbeaten in their last two matches. Three points are the difference between the Granata and safety. Salernitana took a mere two points from six away matches in Serie A.

    • In their last 14 home games in Serie A, Fiorentina have been undefeated on 12 occasions.
    • Salernitana have won only 4 of their last 27 Serie A matches.
    • In Fiorentina's last 4 games against Salernitana have been scored over 2.5 goals (Serie A).
    • In Salernitana's current campaign, they have allowed 1 or more goals in their most recent 16 matches in Serie A.
    • Prediction: Over 2.5 goals.


    Sassuolo – Roma

    Four of the last six head-to-head matches between Sassuolo and Roma ended in draws. Last season’s game at the MAPEI Stadium ended 1-1. Sassuolo then secured a fantastic 4-3 win in Rome in a while affair.

    The last five games between these clubs finished with both teams scoring. Roma will begin the weekend in fifth place and three points off the top four. The Giallorossi went unbeaten in their last three Serie A games and are in good form.

    Sassuolo, on the other hand, won just one of their last six Serie A matches. Home turf has not been kind to the Neroverdi this season. Sassuolo failed to win any of their last four home matches.

    • In their 7 most recent matches of Serie A, Sassuolo Calcio have achieved just 1 wins.
    • AS Roma are unbeaten in 6 of their 7 most recent matches (Serie A).
    • Sassuolo Calcio haven't suffered any defeats in 6 of their 7 most recent meetings with AS Roma in Serie A.
    • AS Roma have achieved just 1 wins of their last 10 away Serie A games.
    • Prediction: Both team to score(NO).


    Home team
    Away team
    Probability %
    Correct score
    Avg. goals
    Weather conditions
    1 - 0
    1.55 4.20 5.50 no no no
    1 - 0(1 - 0)
    - - -

    March 2024
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    {"2":"February 2024","3":"March 2024","4":"April 2024"}